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Trading stocks education - Trading tactics & examples
Lesson of the Day
with Jeff Drake
Courtesy of Nirvana Systems
Lessons of the Day:
Trendlines
Consolidations
Triangles
Saucer Patterns
Trading Ranges
Breakaway Gaps
Measured and Exhaustion Gaps
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Trendline Breaks
Moving Averages and Trend
Support and Resistance Levels
Double Tops and Bottoms
Volatility
Volume Climax
Risk Ratio
Island Reversals
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Trendline Breaks
When is a Trend Truly Broken?
The importance of trendlines cannot be overstated when it comes to technical
analysis. We are told to trade with the primary trend, exit when the trend
reverses, enter on trend reversals, and so on. Trends are easy enough to
identify, but when is a trend actually broken?
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Moving Averages and the Trend
Moving Averages Help Us Identify Trend Reversals
One of the old axioms of technical analysis is that 'the trend is your
friend'. This holds true, as long as you trade in the direction of the trend.
However, your 'friend' has two faces, and can turn on you to eliminate
profits (and your friendship!). Trend reversals can occur at any time and one
of the important skills a trader must possess is the ability to identify a
reversal. It is easy to exit a position too early if we over-anticipate a
trend reversal, and just as easy to watch our profits evaporate if we are too
slow to exit the trade.
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Support and Resistance Levels
History Tells Us When Securites are Overbought or Oversold
Support indicates a level on the chart where we can expect an increase in the
demand for a security (buyers take over). How do we know this? By identifying
this reaction to a price level in the chart's history.
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Hornbeck Offshore
Svcs Inc n
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Double Tops and Bottoms
Waiting for the Setup to Complete Results in Profits
There are various chart patterns that help us find good reversal candidates.
Of the major reversal patterns, the double top or bottom is not only one of
the most recognizable, but also one of the most predictive.
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Tidewater Inc
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Volatility
Well Behaved Stocks Reap Rewards
Some stocks move multiple points and multiple directions in one trading
session. Other stocks are more methodical in their day-to-day movement. Which
type of stock is more attractive to you as an investor?
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Weyerhaeuser Co
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Volume Climax
Volume Helps Identify Reversals
Various price patterns can alert us to potential reversal candidates.
Trendline Breaks, Support and Resistance Levels, Fibonacci Retracement Levels
and other price information are valuable in determining a change in direction
for a security. However, one of the most overlooked chart patterns that help
us determine reversals is not reflected in the price itself. Volume climaxes
are easily identifiable and valuable in assessing a change in market
sentiment.
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Reward:Risk Ratio
Assessing a Trades Potential
When looking at a stock to buy, we look to various tools and techniques to
help us assess the probability of its upward movement. However, will it go up
is not the only question to ask - we also need to analyze the chart to see
how far it is likely to go up and also how much of a loss we are willing to
take to allow it to reach it's profit potential. The potential profit of a
trade divided by the potential loss of trade is known as the Reward:Risk Ratio.
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Island Reversals
Stand Alone Formation Speaks Volumes
Reversals tend to occur slowly, with securities forming double bottoms,
higher lows, head and shoulders patterns, etc. before starting a new trend.
However, sometimes we see a dramatic reversal immediately, and one of the
best indications of these types of reversals is Island Tops and Bottoms.
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