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The tick and the TRIN measure refer to the
pressure or the flow of trades in and out of the market. The tick is
essentially an indicators made up of subtractions, while the TRIN is
essentially a calculator. The tick covers all stocks on the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE), as does the TRIN, while the tiki measures only the Dow 30
stocks. Neither the tick nor the tiki utilize volume in their
calculations, but the TRIN does. Finally, each indicator has important and
distinct characteristics.
|
|
TAPE |
TRIN (actual
value) |
TICK (actual
value) |
|
Mega Bullish |
+0.60 or
lower |
+500 to
+800 |
|
Bullish |
+0.80 or
lower |
+200 to
+700 |
|
Mixed/Neutral |
0.9 to
1.00 |
-300 to
+200 |
|
Bearish |
+1.00 or
higher |
-500 to
-700 |
|
Bear
Ugly |
+1.30 or
higher * |
-500 to
-700, banging on -900+ |
TRIN becomes
"overcooked" bearish and due for a reversal when the readings reach above
the 1.80-2.00 level on the day AFTER a previous down day with extremely
high TRIN readings. Prepare to reverse long upon seeing such
readings.
The TICK indicator is based on the statistic computed from
the net of all UP-TICKs minus all DOWN-TICKs at a given point during the
day in NYSE. If 500 stocks advanced on their last trade or TICK, 200
declined and 500 were unchanged, the TICK would be +300 (500 minus 200).
The closing TICK is based on the last trade of the day. TICK statistics
are available for the NYSE, Nasdaq and AMEX. The High 5 indicator complex
uses only the NYSE numbers.
The TRIN (also known as ARMS Index, named after its
inventor, Richard Arms) is short for TRaders INdex. It is a contrarian
indicator to detect overbought and oversold levels in the market. Because
of its calculation method, the TRIN has an inverse relationship with the
market. Generally, a rising TRIN is bearish and a falling TRIN is bullish.
The TRIN is the advance/decline ratio divided by the advance
volume/decline volume ratio. The formula for calculating it is:
((Advancing issues/declining issues) / (advancing volume/declining
volume)) |
What is important on these 2 indicators is not only what
the current reading is, but the trend of the indicator. Is is
changing character, going from selling to buying or vice
versa.
Day trading with the Tick The NYSE Tick can be used as a
short-term indicator while day trading. Although it represents the
number of stocks ticking up minus the number of stocks ticking down on the
NYSE, it can be used as a barometer for stocks trading on all US
Exchanges. For example, if the Tick reads +200, then 200 more stocks on
the NYSE are ticking up then are ticking down. This is obviously a bullish
signal. If the Tick should read -354, then we understand that 354 more
stocks are ticking down then are ticking up. This is a bearish signal. In
addition to the actual "number" reading of the Tick, one should also pay
attention to how the Tick is trading in relation to it's support and
resistance. Be sure to watch it on a 5 or 15 minute chart in realtime. If
you don't have access to realtime charts, you can us the above link
to keep track of the NYSE Tick. T When the Tick remains positive on the
day bullish momentum can continue. When the Tick remains negative, bearish
momentum can continue. However, if the Tick should rise over +1000, the
market will likely soon reverse because it has become over bought. The
reverse is also true. If the Tick should fall below -1000, the market will
likely reverse because it has become very oversold. If you happen to be
long when the Tick begins to rise over +1000 or short when the Tick begins
to fall below -1000, you need to begin to lighten up on your positions or
close them entirely in anticipation of a reversal. To be extremly
careful while trading, only enter longs when the Tick is above zero and
shorts when the Tick is below zero.
Day trading with the Trin The Trin is a breadth
oscillator which aids in the measurement of internal market strength or
weakness. Also known as The Arms Index (because it was invented by Richard
Arms), the Trin is an acronym that stands for The Trading Index. Simply
put, the Trin measures volatility within the stock market. The Trin
represents the relationship between advancing and declining issues by
measuring their volume flow. The Trin is commonly used as a short term
trading tool. The Trin also has an inverse relationship with the Tick.
In contrast to the Tick, a rising Trin signals that the Bears are
beginning to take control. Likewise, a falling Trin tells us that the
Bulls are taking control of the direction of the market because a falling
Trin shows us that more volume is flowing into advancing stocks than
declining stocks. The formula for the Trin is as follows: Advancing
Issues / Declining Issues
---------------------------------------------------- Advancing
Volume / Declining Volume This formula, like the Trin itself, helps us
to descern whether volume is flowing into advancing or declining issues.
The Trin will read under 1.0 when advancing stocks are the major source of
volume and above 1.0 when declining stocks are the predominant source of
volume flow in the market. In Brief: A rising Trin depicts a weak
market and a falling Trin depicts a strong
market. |